4 11, 2019

No Recession on the Horizon – Wesbury’s Outlook

By |2019-11-04T16:13:33-05:00November 4th, 2019|Fed Reserve, Financial, GDP, Interest Rates, Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

Since the earliest days of the current economic expansion, there have been naysayers asserting the US was on the brink of another recession. Remember all the fear about another wave of home foreclosures, or a disaster in commercial real estate, or the Fiscal Cliff, or Greece potentially leaving the Eurozone, or German bank defaults, or [...]

24 09, 2019

Fear the Spending, Not the Debt – Wesbury’s Outlook

By |2019-09-24T06:46:37-05:00September 24th, 2019|Debt, Interest Rates, Outlook, Policy, Spending|0 Comments

Never underestimate the ability of politicians to mess up a good thing. They're certainly trying in Washington, D.C. Unfortunately, many people are concerned about the wrong thing. Nice even numbers fascinate people, and through the first eleven months of this fiscal year (October 2018 through August 2019), the U.S. budget deficit was over $1 trillion [...]

17 09, 2019

We’re All Keynesians Now – Wesbury’s Outlook

By |2019-09-17T12:35:38-05:00September 17th, 2019|Financial, Policy, Spending, Taxes, Trade|0 Comments

"We are all Keynesians now," is a phrase that caught on in the late 1960s and early 1970s, variously attributed to Milton Friedman and President Richard Nixon. Uncle Milty was commenting on the general political/economic environment, not saying he was a Keynesian. Richard Nixon, on the other hand, actually said "I am now a Keynesian." [...]

30 07, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook- Solid GDP Report

By |2019-07-30T14:59:11-05:00July 30th, 2019|Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

A cottage industry has sprung up in the past decade with the sole focus of discrediting any good news on the economy. When President Obama was in office, the attacks mostly came from the right. With President Trump in Office, the attacks mostly come from the left. Since March 2009, regardless of who was in [...]

29 04, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Goodbye Recession Fears

By |2019-04-29T18:00:40-05:00April 29th, 2019|Financial, Governments, Media, Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

Less than two months ago, conventional wisdom thought the US economy was in real trouble. The consensus expected real GDP would barely grow, if at all, in the first quarter of 2019. Many were in a tizzy about the "second derivative," of growth, obsessing that near zero growth in Q1 would mean three straight quarters [...]

10 04, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Economy on Very Solid Ground

By |2019-04-10T10:42:37-05:00April 10th, 2019|Bullish, Debt, Fed Reserve, Financial, Governments, Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

What a difference a month makes. Last month many economists had pushed down their estimates for first quarter economic growth to near zero. The Atlanta Fed's "GDP Now" model was projecting real GDP growth at a 0.2% annual rate in Q1, which would have been the slowest growth since the weather-related negative reading in the [...]

26 03, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – The Wizard of Oz

By |2019-03-26T13:45:28-05:00March 26th, 2019|Financial, Governments, Media, Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

It feels like we are living in the Land of Oz and the Fed is the "all-powerful" wizard in control. From just about every significant group of thought leaders – the press, politicians, economists, analysts, and government officials – the narrative of the past twelve years has been all about government and nothing about the [...]

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