30 01, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Don’t Obsess About the Fed

By |2019-01-30T16:47:10+00:00January 30th, 2019|Debt, Fed Reserve, Financial, Governments, Interest Rates, Outlook, Policy, Spending, Uncategorized|0 Comments

When it comes to monetary policy, one thing looks certain for 2019 - journalists, pundits, investors, and analysts will pay it way more attention than it deserves. The spotlight is currently on Wednesday, when the Federal Reserve will issue their first statement of the new year. The consensus expects no changes in rates, and we [...]

22 01, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Solid Growth to Finish 2018

By |2019-01-22T12:54:09+00:00January 22nd, 2019|Bullish, Employment, Financial, GDP, Outlook|0 Comments

Normally, the end of January sees the government's first estimate of real GDP growth for the fourth quarter. But with no end in sight for the shutdown, which has already seen numerous other data releases postponed – including figures on retail sales, international trade, inventories, construction, and durable goods - it's very unlikely the GDP [...]

11 01, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook- No Sign of Recession

By |2019-01-11T10:53:43+00:00January 11th, 2019|Bullish, Employment, Financial, Media, Outlook|0 Comments

Talk about destroying a narrative. On Friday, the Labor Department reported 312,000 new jobs in December, with an additional 58,000 from upward revisions to prior months. Recession talk got crushed. The Pouting Pundits of Pessimism claim jobs are a lagging indicator, but the pace of payroll growth starts declining well before a recession starts. In [...]

29 10, 2018

Adam Lucke – October Market Scaries

By |2018-10-28T11:33:50+00:00October 29th, 2018|Financial, Uncategorized|0 Comments

October Market Scaries As most of you know, we’ve advocated for many years that you not pay attention to the daily drivel of the financial media but rather focus on more important things like your family and friends. For the hundreds of you who have experienced the benefit of following that advice, read no further [...]

23 10, 2018

Wesbury’s Outlook – Robust Growth Continues

By |2018-10-23T04:30:39+00:00October 23rd, 2018|Fed Reserve, Financial, Interest Rates, Media|0 Comments

Economic growth continued at a robust rate in the third quarter, supporting the case for both a continued bull market in stocks and further rate hikes from the Fed. While we might make minor adjustments when we get Thursday's data on durable goods, international trade, and inventories, right now our model forecasts real GDP expanded [...]

2 10, 2018

Wesbury’s Outlook- No Looming Recession

By |2018-10-02T15:31:58+00:00October 2nd, 2018|Financial, Interest Rates, Media|0 Comments

As far as Harvard economist Martin Feldstein is concerned, we're all doomed. Feldstein says that the low interest rates of the last several years have created a stock market bubble rivaling the housing bubble that precipitated the last crisis. As interest rates keep rising, he says, the stock market bubble will eventually burst, sending the [...]

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