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So far R&A has created 89 blog entries.
14 05, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Trade War Hysterics

By |2019-05-14T10:52:55-04:00May 14th, 2019|Trade|0 Comments

Since hitting new all-time highs two weeks ago, the S&P 500 has fallen about 2.2% as trade negotiations with China hit a snag. Last week, the US announced new tariffs on Chinese imports. This morning, China announced new tariffs on some US goods. Many fear a widening trade war. Don't get us wrong. We want [...]

29 04, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Goodbye Recession Fears

By |2019-04-29T18:00:40-04:00April 29th, 2019|Financial, Governments, Media, Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

Less than two months ago, conventional wisdom thought the US economy was in real trouble. The consensus expected real GDP would barely grow, if at all, in the first quarter of 2019. Many were in a tizzy about the "second derivative," of growth, obsessing that near zero growth in Q1 would mean three straight quarters [...]

26 04, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Resilient Economy

By |2019-04-26T10:16:20-04:00April 26th, 2019|Financial, GDP, Outlook|0 Comments

It wasn't that long ago that some economists and investors were seriously concerned about US growth going negative for the first quarter. Now, based on our calculations, which we discuss below, it looks like real GDP grew at a respectable 2.6% annual rate in Q1, meaning that US real output was 3.1% larger than Q1-2018. [...]

12 04, 2019

What’s Really Important? – Michael Rogan

By |2019-04-13T10:53:16-04:00April 12th, 2019|Uncategorized|0 Comments

Often, new clients come to us mired in the minutiae of one or two aspects of their financial life but without having a good grasp of the big picture. This is partially a result of the media, be it advertising, pundits or articles, focusing on minutiae and not necessarily accurately. So we labor to refocus [...]

10 04, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Economy on Very Solid Ground

By |2019-04-10T10:42:37-04:00April 10th, 2019|Bullish, Debt, Fed Reserve, Financial, Governments, Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

What a difference a month makes. Last month many economists had pushed down their estimates for first quarter economic growth to near zero. The Atlanta Fed's "GDP Now" model was projecting real GDP growth at a 0.2% annual rate in Q1, which would have been the slowest growth since the weather-related negative reading in the [...]

2 04, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Don’t Cut Rates, Cut Spending

By |2019-04-02T14:23:45-04:00April 2nd, 2019|Financial, Interest Rates, Outlook, Spending|0 Comments

We've been "Comrades in Supply-side Arms" with Stephen Moore (now a Federal Reserve nominee) and Larry Kudlow (Administration Economist) for decades, with very few disagreements on economic policy. However, with both having called for a 50 basis point cut in short-term rates, we find ourselves in total disagreement with their conclusion. They both make supply-side [...]

26 03, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – The Wizard of Oz

By |2019-03-26T13:45:28-04:00March 26th, 2019|Financial, Governments, Media, Outlook, Policy|0 Comments

It feels like we are living in the Land of Oz and the Fed is the "all-powerful" wizard in control. From just about every significant group of thought leaders – the press, politicians, economists, analysts, and government officials – the narrative of the past twelve years has been all about government and nothing about the [...]

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