24 09, 2019

Fear the Spending, Not the Debt – Wesbury’s Outlook

By |2019-09-24T06:46:37-05:00September 24th, 2019|Debt, Interest Rates, Outlook, Policy, Spending|0 Comments

Never underestimate the ability of politicians to mess up a good thing. They're certainly trying in Washington, D.C. Unfortunately, many people are concerned about the wrong thing. Nice even numbers fascinate people, and through the first eleven months of this fiscal year (October 2018 through August 2019), the U.S. budget deficit was over $1 trillion [...]

17 09, 2019

We’re All Keynesians Now – Wesbury’s Outlook

By |2019-09-17T12:35:38-05:00September 17th, 2019|Financial, Policy, Spending, Taxes, Trade|0 Comments

"We are all Keynesians now," is a phrase that caught on in the late 1960s and early 1970s, variously attributed to Milton Friedman and President Richard Nixon. Uncle Milty was commenting on the general political/economic environment, not saying he was a Keynesian. Richard Nixon, on the other hand, actually said "I am now a Keynesian." [...]

2 04, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Don’t Cut Rates, Cut Spending

By |2019-04-02T14:23:45-05:00April 2nd, 2019|Financial, Interest Rates, Outlook, Spending|0 Comments

We've been "Comrades in Supply-side Arms" with Stephen Moore (now a Federal Reserve nominee) and Larry Kudlow (Administration Economist) for decades, with very few disagreements on economic policy. However, with both having called for a 50 basis point cut in short-term rates, we find ourselves in total disagreement with their conclusion. They both make supply-side [...]

11 02, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Where’s the Recession?

By |2019-02-11T16:23:42-05:00February 11th, 2019|Fed Reserve, Interest Rates, Outlook, Policy, Spending|0 Comments

Whatever happened to the recession calls? Seems like just a few weeks ago that the correction in the stock market as well as the partial government shutdown had convinced many analysts and investors the US was about to enter a recession. Fortunately, the data haven't cooperated. Ten days ago we got the employment report for [...]

30 01, 2019

Wesbury’s Outlook – Don’t Obsess About the Fed

By |2019-01-30T16:47:10-05:00January 30th, 2019|Debt, Fed Reserve, Financial, Governments, Interest Rates, Outlook, Policy, Spending, Uncategorized|0 Comments

When it comes to monetary policy, one thing looks certain for 2019 - journalists, pundits, investors, and analysts will pay it way more attention than it deserves. The spotlight is currently on Wednesday, when the Federal Reserve will issue their first statement of the new year. The consensus expects no changes in rates, and we [...]

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