Wesbury’s Monday Outlook – Don’t Fear Higher Interest Rates

By |2017-12-04T15:11:19-05:00December 4th, 2017|Fed Reserve, Financial, Governments|

Bullish • Government • Markets • Monday Morning Outlook • Fed Reserve • Interest Rates • Stocks   The Federal Reserve has a problem.  At 4.1%, the jobless rate is already well below the 4.6% it thinks unemployment would/could/should average over the long run.  We think the unemployment rate should get to 3.5% by the end of 2019 and wouldn't be shocked if it got that low [...]

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Wesbury’s Monday Outlook: Consumer Fundamentals are Strong

By |2017-12-21T19:42:42-05:00November 27th, 2017|Financial, Uncategorized|

Now that Black Friday has come and gone and Cyber Monday is upon us, you're going to hear a blizzard of numbers and reports about the US consumer.  So far, these numbers show blowout on-line sales and a mild decline in foot traffic at brick-and-mortar stores.  Both are better than expected given the ongoing [...]

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Wesbury’s Monday Outlook – The Economy is Accelerating

By |2017-11-29T23:55:41-05:00November 20th, 2017|Financial, Governments|

Bullish • GDP • Government • Monday Morning Outlook • Spending • Taxes We've called it a "Plow Horse" economy, which was our metaphor invented to counter forecasters who said slow growth meant a recession was on its way.  A Plow Horse is always slow, but that slowness hides underlying strength – it was never going to slip and fall.  Now, the economy is accelerating. [...]

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WESBURY’S MONDAY MORNING OUTLOOK: Investing Vs. Trading

By |2017-12-21T19:43:14-05:00November 13th, 2017|Financial, Uncategorized|

     Are you an investor or a trader? Investors think long- term, while traders focus on short-term price movements.   Trading furs, cloth, commodities, or tulips, has gone back centuries, if not millennium, but was about adding value and moving goods to markets. In other words, through trading many ran businesses that looked [...]

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Another “Worst Day to Invest”

By |2017-10-16T20:34:49-04:00October 16th, 2017|Financial, Uncategorized|

30 years ago this week, the US stock market suffered its greatest one day loss in history when it dropped some 22%. This marked the second day of a 27% two day decline and the end of a total fall of more than 40% from a late summer peak. That day, forever known as [...]

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The Worst Day to Invest?

By |2017-10-16T14:52:50-04:00October 9th, 2017|Financial, Uncategorized|

Ten years ago this October 9, the stock market hit an all-time high level. Over the next 17 months, a disastrous mix of market greed, unintended consequences from poorly conceived financial regulations, and even worse reactions to those unintended consequences caused the stock market to decline by more than half. Thus, October 9, 2007 [...]

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WESBURY’S MONDAY MORNING OUTLOOK: LONGEST RECOVERY EVER

By |2017-10-18T18:06:37-04:00October 8th, 2017|Financial, Uncategorized|

     If the current economic expansion lasts another year and a half, it’ll be the longest on record, even surpassing the expansion of the 1990s that ended in early 2001. Notice how we didn’t say it’ll be the “best” expansion of all-time, just the longest; it’s not the best by a long shot. [...]

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REFERRALS ARE THE HIGHEST COMPLIMENT!

By |2017-10-16T14:30:43-04:00October 5th, 2017|Financial, Uncategorized|

Years ago we helped a firefighter with his retirement plan, and he told his friends and co-workers. We now work with 4 or 5 dozen of his current or former co-workers. That tells us they are happy with our services and they trust us. If you would like to have more confidence in your [...]

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WESBURY’S MONDAY MORNING OUTLOOK: STOCKS WON

By |2017-10-18T18:05:42-04:00October 2nd, 2017|Financial, Uncategorized|

   Next Monday (October 9th) will be exactly ten years from the stock market peak before the Financial Panic of 2008. Imagine that Doctor Doom, the perceived “best analyst in the business,” told you on that night, when markets peaked, that financial authorities would allow mark-to-market accounting rules to burn the banking system to [...]

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